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Letters to the editor: Issue 567 25 Mar 2011

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Railways, Greater London, Northwest England, West Midlands

HS2 passenger forecasts are verging on fantasy

Paul Withrington, Transport Watch, Northampton NN2

The analysis for HS2 would be laughable save that Philip Hammond and others have had a vision. The passenger forecasts are unbelievable. The latest provides 136,000 per day in 2043 if the scheme terminates in Birmingham, and 240,000 if the network were extended to Manchester and Leeds. The 136,000 would require a 1,000-seat train with a 50% load factor every six-and-a-half minutes for 15 hours all day in each direction. The 240,000 would require a similar train every four minutes – an...

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