Short-term forecasting, with a horizon of an hour or much less, is one of the great opportunities and one of the great challenges for transport planning.
There are enormous potential benefits in being able to predict the effect of an incident and, most importantly, being able to intervene effectively – we all have sat in what I would consider unnecessary traffic jams. But it is tricky, for a whole lot of reasons.
In my experience commercial software packages are still better at predicting...
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