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Uncertainties of disruptive technology occupy transport modellers’ minds

23 June 2017
Willumsen: new uncertainties
Willumsen: new uncertainties
The DfT’s National Trip End Model predicts rapid traffic growth in Leeds, despite little growth in recent years. Greg Marsden questioned the projection
The DfT’s National Trip End Model predicts rapid traffic growth in Leeds, despite little growth in recent years. Greg Marsden questioned the projection
Modelling World 2017 was held at the Valley, Charlton Athletic on the 14th June. www.modellingworld2017.uk
Modelling World 2017 was held at the Valley, Charlton Athletic on the 14th June. www.modellingworld2017.uk

 

The challenge that disruptive technologies such as autonomous vehicles and Mobility as a Service (MaaS) pose for transport modelling loomed large at this year’s Modelling World event. 

Delivering the opening paper, Luis Willumsen, director of Willumsen Advisory Services and Kineo Mobility Analytics, said modellers were faced with huge new uncertainties, making the job of forecasting ever more difficult. 

Factors included: political instability; behaviour change; autonomous...

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