Local Transport Today is the authoritative, independent journal for transport decision makers. Analysis, Comment & News on Transport Policy, Planning, Finance and Delivery since 1989.

Modelling: an art or a science?

Mott MacDonalds Tom Van Vuren
Mott MacDonalds Tom Van Vuren

 

“Transport modelling, if done well, is of course similar to scientific experimentation,” suggests Tom Van Vuren from consultant Mott MacDonald. “We even use the same terminology: develop a theory; create a computable parameterised mathematical representation; collect data; calibrate the model by estimating parameters in the mathematical function(s) that best fit the observed data; validate the model by testing the model’s applicability against independent observations;...

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