Local Transport Today is the authoritative, independent journal for transport decision makers. Analysis, Comment & News on Transport Policy, Planning, Finance and Delivery since 1989.

An increasingly uncertain future?

Tom van Vuren, divisional director at Mott MacDonald
Tom van Vuren, divisional director at Mott MacDonald


As models become ever larger and more complex the need to deal with the uncertainty inherent in trying to predict the future is becoming ever more important, says Tom van Vuren, a divisional director at consultant Mott MacDonald and a visiting professor at the Institute for Transport Studies at the University of Leeds. “As a profession we are not very good at recognising the uncertainties in our model inputs, in the processes within our models and ultimately in our results,” van...

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