Few people can have been more delighted than me to see DfT publishing its Uncertainty Toolkit, and the inclusion of six Common Analytical Scenarios for modelling and appraisal.
I have advocated the modelling of alternative futures since 2014, and others long before that. The common scenarios provide modellers with coherent futures that enable us to provide consistent forecasts across projects and programmes that help decision-makers incorporate uncertainty when promoting policies or projects....
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