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Correct model’s trip forecasting errors, practitioners urge DfT

Travel demand

07 August 2020

 

Transport planners have urged the DfT to improve its core travel demand model to stop it over-estimating trip rates, particularly in big cities such as London and Manchester.   

Concerns about the National Trip End Model (NTEM) forecasts were raised by transport planners during interviews conducted to inform the DfT’s ongoing NTEM review. 

“The consistent overestimation of road traffic over time, and of trips in dense urban areas, were both mentioned repeatedly [by...

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