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Can anyone save us from the misuses of transport modelling?

Transport models are widely misused in policy-making, says a new report by Yaron Hollander, who until last month was one of Transport for London’s modelling managers. Unfortunately, he sees no organisation capable of tackling the misuse.

Andrew Forster
13 November 2015
"More scrutiny from the public itself would help us, modellers and planners, stop doing some things that we do just because nobody seems to notice" Yaron Hollander
Ten misuses of transport models, as illustrated in Hollander`s report
Ten misuses of transport models, as illustrated in Hollander`s report

 

Politicians, planners and the public all place far too much confidence in the capabilities of transport modelling to provide reliable forecasts of the future, according to a new report. Yaron Hollander, the report’s author, should know what he’s talking about. He was Transport for London’s policy appraisal & sub-regional modelling manager from 2012 until October this year when he left to set up CT Think!, a consultancy specialising in “infrastructure appraisal,...

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