The Department for Transport recently issued updated forecasts of demand for air travel, to support a revised draft Airports National Policy Statement (LTT 10 Nov). However, these forecasts may overstate future demand by disregarding evidence of emerging market maturity.
The new forecasts recognise the significance of market maturity – the slowing and eventual cessation of demand growth over time, a common feature of all markets for goods and services. The forecasts assume reductions in...
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