Modellers struggle to predict impact of new bypass schemes

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Andrew Forster
24 January 2014
The accuracy of the do-something traffic
The accuracy of the do-something traffic

 

Many traffic forecasts for major road schemes are inaccurate, with modellers appearing to have particular difficulty predicting traffic levels on new bypasses and the roads they relieve, according to a major study of recently-completed Highways Agency schemes. 

The report by consultant Atkins summarises post-opening project evaluations (POPEs) of more than 70 Highways Agency major schemes delivered between 2002 and 2010. They comprise bypasses, online widenings, junction improvements and...

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