Are transport specialists practising self-deception?

One of the topics explored at the Local Transport Summit was how the expectations of ‘transport professionals’ in planning for the future compare with those of other members of society, and in particular those without a ‘transport way of thinking’. LTT is taking that discussion forward with a series of contributions. To begin, Steve Melia asks if the ‘transport experts’ are thinking consistently and logically themselves

What do transport specialists believe is likely to happen between now and 2035? That was the headline question I set out to answer a few weeks ago. My interest was partly raised by the discussion about “superforecasting” at the last Modelling World conference which was reported in the last issue of LTT. But learning their considered specific opinions was not my only reason for asking.

I wanted to explore some influences on their thought processes too.

Between 1984 and 2003 a team of...

Subscribe today to read this article in full...

Benefits of subscribing to Local Transport Today Membership + TransportXtra & TransportXtra.com

• 25 editions a year
• Essential reading for public and private sector transport professionals in the UK and beyond
• Stay ahead of the competition – hear it first
• Written by leading experts in the transport industry
• Additional publications throughout the year covering specific subjects Smarter Travel, Get Britain Cycling and Data and Modelling
• Includes full online access to TransportXtra.com and searchable archive

Magazine + Online

Pay Monthly

£25.00

Fixed Term

Organisation package: 2 mags + 5 members £630.00 Organisation package: 3 mags + 20 members £920.00 Organisation package: 5 mags + 50 members £1,300.00 1 Year Individual Membership £200.00 3 Year Individual Membership (Save 20%) £480.00

 

Online Only

Pay Monthly

£16.25

Price shown ex VAT. Monthly subscription amount charged monthly to registered card.

Fixed Term

1 Year Subscription £130.00 30 Day Subscription £30.00 90 Day Subscription £60.00

Invoice option available on fixed-term subscription. Subscriptions begin from receipt of payment.