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Cover Story Detail: Issue Issue 11 29 Apr 2010

Six scenarios that change the game for long distance travel

At the heart of the Independent Transport Commission study of long distance travel is a statistical model which explains, and can forecast, long distance travel demand in a number of different game-changing scenarios.

On behalf of ITC, Professor Joyce Dargay, of the Leeds-based Institute of Transport Studies, established a ‘base case’, using government assumptions and forecasts, the central one of which is that GDP will grow at 2.5% a year from 2012 to 2030. The base case also...

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