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Phil Goodwin: Issue 552 20 Aug 2010

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Peak Car – part three: the evidence

There is indeed evidence to suggest that car travel has peaked rather than flattened out

Phil Goodwin

‘Peak car’ is the idea that car use may not saturate, but turn down. In Part One in June I discussed the experience of rail use after 1918, and road public transport use after 1950, where this happened. In Part Two in July I considered what sort of evidence could distinguish between the identical-looking saturating curve and one about to turn down. The suggestion was that ‘approach to saturation’, when disaggregated, would show that different places and groups only...

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